Tuesday, December 27, 2016

Race, MVP and Playoffs

With only 1 more regular season week left the MVP race is the most exciting thing going forward. The AFC has a lock on who's in the playoffs, with possible moves on seeding, and the NFC has the Lions, Packers, and Redskins fighting for the last 2 spots to continue their hopes. 

AFC
Most likely the Pats will take the #1 seed once again in TB12 hopes of gaining his 5th Super Bowl win. The Raiders with a win over Denver or a KC lost will ensure they will lock down the 2 seed. If they win and NE loses
they could spring in at #1. With David Carr out for the season that seems highly unlikely. Pitt wins, lose or draw will take the 3 seed headed forward, and there is the talk of resting Big Ben (but their final game is against Cle,
so I feel good that if I were their QB they'd still win). The Texans have also clinched the 4 seed moving into the playoffs, but they want to get Tom Savage more snaps leading into the playoffs against the Titans, who by the
way is without Marcus Mariota. The Chiefs currently sitting at 5 could jump up all the way to the 2 seed with a win over San Diego and a Denver win over Oakland (which I believe will now happen). Go back to a few post I said KC is my dark horse, that Defense is incredible. That KC team reminds me of the 2003 Buccaneers. Rounding out the AFC is Miami, and I believe they will lock in the 6th seed because I don't see them beating the Patriots. 

NFC
A little more scenarios in the NFC, The Cowboys have clinched the 1 spot, and they are hoping to never leave the state of Texas as they hang their 6th banner. The 2 seed as of now is the Falcons and 3 being Seattle, these two are fighting for a first-round bye and very well could flip flop. Many think it'll be an easy Seahawks win over the 49ers, and the Falcons have a tough division rival against the Saints. The 4 seed will go to the winner of the
Lions and the Packers going into week 17. The Giants have locked down the 5 seed, and the 6th seed comes between the Lions, Packers, and Redskins. Needless to say, the NFC will be more interesting this week than the AFC.

MVP Race
I believe that Tom Brady is in line for the MVP this year. However, the other candidates have put up respectable numbers. Derrick Carr could have made the race for MVP a little more interesting before he suffered a season-ending femur break. Now the others looking at taking that covenant award are Matt Ryan, Dak Prescott, Aaron Rodgers, and Ezekiel Elliott. Now let's compare the numbers.

(stats from http://boston.cbslocal.com/2016/12/27/is-tom-brady-really-the-nfl-mvp-in-2016/)


TOM BRADY, 2016                           
  • 15 Games
  • 346-for-498 (69.5%)
  • 4,613 yards
  • 9.26 yards/attempt
  • 308 yards/game
  • 34 TDs
  • 7 INTs
  • 115.5 passer rating
  • 10-5 record
MATT RYAN, 2016
  • 15 Games
  • 346-for-498 (69.5%)
  • 4,613 yards
  • 9.26 yards/attempt
  • 308 yards/game
  • 34 TDs
  • 7 INTs
  • 115.5 passer rating
  • 10-5 record
DAK PRESCOTT, 2016
  • 15 Games
  • 307-for-451 (68.1%)
  • 3,630 yards
  • 8.05 yards/attempt
  • 242 yards/game
  • 23TDs
  • 4 INTs
  • 105.7 passer rating
  • 13-2 record
AARON RODGERS, 2016
  • 15 Games
  • 374-for-571 (65.5%)
  • 4,128 yards
  • 7.23 yards/attempt
  • 275 yards/game
  • 36 TDs
  • 7 INTs
  • 102.7 passer rating
  • 9-6 record
Ezekiel Elliott 
  • 15 Games
  • 322 Carries
  • 1,631 Rushing Yards (Leads NFL)
  • Avg. 5.1 yards per carry
  • 15 TD's
  • 5 Fumbles
My predictions
Cowboys over Eagles
Ravens over Bengals
Texans over Titans
Buccaneers over Panthers 
Colts over Jaguars
Patriots over Dolphins
Vikings over Bears
Bills over Jets
Steelers over Cleveland
Falcons over Saints
Giants over Redskins
Cardinals over Rams
Broncos over Raiders
Chiefs over Chargers
Seahawks over 49ers (H)
Packers over Lions

Leaders Board
Kevin-107
Jordan-84
Nate-81
Johnse-31
Samantha-7

2 comments:

  1. Eagless over Cowboys
    Ravens over Bengals
    Texans over Titans
    Buccaneers over Panthers
    Colts over Jaguars
    Patriots over Dolphins
    Vikings over Bears
    Bills over Jets
    Steelers over Cleveland (H)
    Falcons over Saints
    Giants over Redskins
    Cardinals over Rams
    Broncos over Raiders
    Chiefs over Chargers
    Seahawks over 49ers
    Packers over Lions

    My picks about match yours Kevro...

    Either way. Ezekiel Elliott for the MVP in a landslide. Should be at least. He's made the Cowboys what they are. Secondly, I don't believe Brady deserves it. He only played 12 games (deflategate) BTW... But Belichick has proven he can win with literally anyone. Its the system, not the player. Rodgers sucked awful at the beginning, too little too late for me. Prescott, while good, owes a LOT of his wins to Elliott and his team. And Matt Ryan always puts up top 10 numbers, but just something about him makes me not take him seriously.

    This is Jordan

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  2. You're right with the Brady deflategate situation, however the voters may not look at this while voting. They typically let it go to a QB. If the Cowboys would have let Zeke run during the Lions game to eat up yards then he'd have a solid case for MVP. I think he could have gotten Eric Dickerson record but now we'll never know.

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